Did Punxsutawney Phil Predict Early Spring? 140th Forecast Reveals More Cold Ahead

Thousands gathered in the chilly morning air of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, to witness a beloved annual ritual that blends folklore with fun. On February 2, 2026, the famous groundhog known as Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his burrow on Gobbler’s Knob and spotted his shadow, signaling that winter weather would stick around for another six weeks. This marked the 140th time the furry prognosticator has made such a call, continuing a tradition that’s become a staple of American culture.

The event, held at the crack of dawn, drew a lively crowd despite the frosty conditions. Attendees included notable figures like U.S. Senator Dave McCormick, whose family ties to the area added a personal touch, along with Pennsylvania State Treasurer Stacy Garrity and state Senate leaders Joe Pittman and Kim Ward. It’s not just locals who turn out; people from across the country flock to this small town each year, inspired in part by the classic 1993 movie starring Bill Murray that put Groundhog Day on the map for many.

While Phil’s predictions add a whimsical element to the season, his track record isn’t flawless. Data from the National Centers for Environmental Information shows he’s been right about 40 percent of the time when compared to actual U.S. temperature trends over the past decade. Still, the charm of the occasion lies in its lighthearted nature rather than scientific precision.

Echoing Phil’s outlook, AccuWeather’s lead long-range forecaster Paul Pastelok noted that colder temperatures and potential snow could linger in parts of the eastern U.S., including the mid-Atlantic, Ohio Valley, and Northeast. He emphasized that while extended forecasts offer general patterns, they’re not always spot-on for specifics. “We’ve got more snow and ice on the horizon,” Pastelok said, suggesting the groundhog’s verdict might align with real weather shifts.

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ncei.noaa.gov

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Quick Summary

Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow during the 140th Groundhog Day event on February 2, 2026, forecasting six additional weeks of winter. The celebration in Pennsylvania attracted crowds and politicians, highlighting the tradition’s enduring appeal despite Phil’s 40% accuracy rate. Weather experts like Paul Pastelok from AccuWeather back the idea of continued cold in eastern regions.